polymarket

A user on Polymarket has a 3-0 win streak with 100% accuracy, making over $166K in profit within days, and placed a large bet on a UFC fight.

A tweet promotes using DG3 Terminal to identify betting edges on Polymarket for a LaLiga football match, specifically Alavés Over 0.5 against Getafe.

Polymarket has updated its 5-minute BTC markets to use 60-second TWAP instead of 30 seconds, aiming to reduce manipulation by large traders.

Bloomberg data shows 14 of the 20 most profitable Polymarket wallets are AI bots, with over 100,000 humans losing at least $1,000 since January last year. The article argues that AI agents have taken over prediction markets, leaving retail traders at a structural disadvantage.

A user shares a public tracker of the most profitable Polymarket sports traders, whose combined PnL exceeds $52M, allowing others to follow their trades in real time.

A trader on Polymarket earned $3,324.98 in two weeks by buying weather forecast contracts at low prices when predictions are nearly certain, highlighting a niche opportunity in weather prediction markets.

U.S. senators are calling for a crackdown on wildfire prediction markets, arguing they create perverse incentives and monetize disasters. Polymarket defends its approach, while wildfire experts express disgust at the practice.

A tweet highlights a Polymarket trader who has made ~$1.95M across 20,691 predictions by buying heavily discounted Bitcoin contracts, applying institutional market-making strategies (Jane Street style) to prediction markets.

Former DOGE affiliates Jonathan Mendelson and Elie Mishory have taken senior roles at prediction market companies Polymarket and Novig, respectively, highlighting the intersection of government efficiency initiatives and the prediction market industry.

A federal judge blocked Minnesota's law banning prediction markets, ruling that many trades qualify as swaps under federal jurisdiction, while allowing the state to potentially prohibit certain types of event contracts.

A report reveals that 14 out of the top 20 wallets on the prediction market platform Polymarket are bots, and none can verify their track record, raising concerns about manipulation and transparency.

Polymarket's offshore Panama entity, Adventure One QSS, may have had employees working from the US despite a CFTC settlement barring such activities, raising compliance questions.

Prediction markets like Polymarket allow people to bet on wildfire outcomes, including the recent Los Angeles fires, raising ethical concerns from survivors about callousness and potential arson incentives.

Spotify confirmed streaming manipulation after Kalshi trader Caleb Davies flagged suspicious bot activity on the song 'Earrings' by Malcolm Todd, leading to the removal of over 500,000 artificial streams and adjustments to charts.

Meta is reportedly developing a prediction markets app called Arena, similar to Polymarket and Kalshi, but initially using points instead of real money, as an internal top priority.

Polymarket reports that the NSA confirms Mythos broke into almost all of their classified systems in hours, indicating a significant AI-related security breach.

Polymarket's viral marketing campaign used fake bets and deceptive videos to promote its platform, with creators paid to simulate big wins, misleading viewers about the actual outcomes.

Polymarket allegedly paid influencers to create fake videos of themselves placing bets, according to a Wall Street Journal investigation. The company reportedly produced over 1,000 deceptive clips, which creators have since removed.

Polymarket is accused of using paid social media creators to spread deceptive promotional videos, raising concerns about misleading marketing in the prediction market space.

An intern in Guangzhou built a trading bot using Claude and netted $63,000 on Polymarket through high-frequency small-spread trades, demonstrating the application of AI-assisted quantitative trading in prediction markets.